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A new project is in the works. In the meantime, past projects live under Archived Projects.
old - V3.9 Gold Arbitrage Tracker
Scanned every open gold-price market on Polymarket and Kalshi, normalized them into one schema, and flagged combinations of contracts that were logically mispriced against each other (net of fees), with an AI agent writing a daily brief on top. Ran from July to October 2026; the page below is its final snapshot and no longer updates.
old - V2 Gold (GC) June 2026 Settlement Odds
The purpose of this tracker was to find correlations in the movements of prediction market odds to the movements of the underlying asset, and send a summary of these daily changes to myself for evaluation.
Current odds (2026-07-13)
| Bracket | Probability |
|---|---|
| <$3,800 | 0.0% |
| $3,800-$4,200 | 100.0% |
| $4,200-$4,600 | 0.0% |
| $4,600-$5,000 | 0.0% |
| $5,000-$5,400 | 0.0% |
| $5,400-$5,800 | 0.0% |
| $5,800-$6,200 | 0.0% |
| >$6,200 | 0.0% |
Changes vs previous day
Biggest mover: <$3,800 (+0.0pp)
| Bracket | Now | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| <$3,800 | 0.0% | +0.0pp |
| $3,800-$4,200 | 100.0% | +0.0pp |
| $4,200-$4,600 | 0.0% | +0.0pp |
| $4,600-$5,000 | 0.0% | +0.0pp |
| $5,000-$5,400 | 0.0% | +0.0pp |
| $5,400-$5,800 | 0.0% | +0.0pp |
| $5,800-$6,200 | 0.0% | +0.0pp |
| >$6,200 | 0.0% | +0.0pp |
old - V2 Micron (MU) EMA Trend Tracker
This tracker was created to send automated alerts to myself whenever MU broke below its 9-day or 21-day EMA, since I was using these metrics to trade this ticker at the time.
Latest close (2026-07-10)
$979.30
Change: $-12.34 (-1.24%)
Close is 2.6% below the 9-day EMA
Close is 2.9% below the 21-day EMA
Close is 8.2% above the 48-day EMA
Volume: 31,563,700